The better question is, “How can Republicans hold the House?” Jon McHenry’s latest Substack post is here.
Whit Ayres, May 25
RepublicansTariffsWhit AyresJune 3, 2025
Whit Ayres’ comments in The Washington Post regarding the election outlook for 2026: Republican pollster Whit Ayres sounded worried about the way the landscape looks at this point. “Let’s see,” he wrote in a message. “Higher prices as a result of tariffs, and millions of Trump voters losing their Medicaid-funded health care. I think even...
Whit Ayres’ comments in TIME regarding Republican party factions: This makes Paul an anomaly. At a time when most elected Republicans are either America First true-believers or traditional conservatives who have bent the knee, Paul has emerged as a thorn in Trump’s side. “They have very different ideologies,” says Whit Ayres, a veteran GOP strategist....
“His position on vaccines was exceedingly well known when he was nominated.”
RepublicansRFK, Jr.Whit AyresMarch 6, 2025
Whit Ayres’ comments in The New York Times regarding RFK Jr’s confirmation by the U.S. Senate: For Mr. Cassidy and other Republicans who were uneasy about Mr. Kennedy, the situation in West Texas is forcing a reckoning, said Whit Ayres, a Republican strategist who is also a member of Rotary International, an organization that has...
“Republicans always seem to take the hit during government shutdowns.”
Government SpendingPolitical ClimateRepublicansWhit AyresDecember 19, 2024
Whit Ayres spoke with Time magazine about the potential for a government shutdown: When the government shut down in 2013, the GOP’s favorable rating sank and it took the entire year to recover, says Whit Ayres, a Republican strategist and pollster. “Republicans always seem to take the hit during government shutdowns,” Ayres says. “So I’m...
Whit Ayres’ comments to ABC News regarding Donald Trump’s comeback victory: Key to Trump’s political staying power, strategists on both sides of the aisle said, is the way he’s managed to reorient the GOP’s image from “Country Club Republicans” to the party of the working class despite being a billionaire himself and despite some of...
Jon McHenry’s comments to The Boston Globe regarding Republican gains in New England: Political strategists say Trump spoke more directly to those who worry about the cost of goods and the impact of the state’s surging migrant population in their communities. “Ultimately, what the results from yesterday say is that Republicans were more focused on...
Dan Judy’s comments to The Guardian on former President Donald Trump’s conquest of state Republican parties: “The big, sort of under-the-radar story in American politics over the last couple of years was the way Trump and his people had taken over state parties across the country,” said Dan Judy, a senior analyst for North Star...
The Virginia Election in Six Charts
BlogDemographicsFeaturedPolitical ClimateRepublicansJanuary 23, 2018
Democratic nominee Ralph Northam won the 2017 election for Governor of Virginia by the unexpectedly large margin of nine percentage points, 54 to 45 percent. Unlike the Rustbelt states voting for President in 2016, few counties switched from Democrat to Republican since the last Virginia gubernatorial election in 2013. Instead the surprising margin was caused...
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