However, the Republican pollster Whit Ayres told me that he is seeing the same divergence between slipping non-white support and steady white backing for Harris in his surveys—and he sees good reasons for that pattern potentially persisting through Election Day. “The Hispanic and African American weakness [for Harris] is a function of a memory of...
“Pollsters risk simply weighting the result back to the Biden-Trump contest.”
Polling and MethodologyVoter TurnoutWhit AyresOctober 30, 2024
Whit Ayres spoke with The Morning Dispatch newsletter about polling and weighting results: Whit Ayres, the president of North Star Research, told TMD that any adjustments, whether based on class, party, or previous vote, that try to account for these voters are necessarily unproven. “There’s no question that a nonresponse bias, which is simply a...
Whit Ayres spoke with The Hill regarding false claims about the hurricane response: “The most effective messages are those that have the benefit of being true. When you have Republicans directly [contradicting] Trump’s argument, like Gov. Kemp, all it does is reinforce the people who are already on his side and doesn’t persuade anyone else...
“These storms are make-or-break events for elected leaders.”
Natural DisastersPresidential ContestWhit AyresOctober 7, 2024
Whit Ayres’ comments to NBC News regarding the political affects of handling, or mishandling, natural disasters: “These storms are make-or-break events for elected leaders when a disaster strikes,” said Whit Ayres, a Republican pollster. “When the election is down to seven swing states that are essentially tied at the moment, and several of those swing...
“The released court filing reinforces what people already believe.”
Political ClimatePresidential PrimariesTrumpWhit AyresOctober 7, 2024
Whit Ayres’ comments to ABC News about the Jack Smith filing: “It reinforces what people already believe,” Whit Ayres, a longtime Republican pollster, said about the Smith filing. “Democracy is one of the top issues for Democrats, but not for Republicans. And so it’ll simply fortify their belief that Trump is a threat to democracy,...
