Whit Ayres, March 20

Whit Ayres’ comments on the Hispanic vote and GOP prospects in 2014 and 2016 in the Los Angeles Times:

In 2012, exit polls show Mitt Romney beat Obama by 20 percentage points among white voters, which made up 72% of the electorate, while losing resoundingly among all other racial groups. In this November’s midterm election, whites will constitute a higher percentage of the electorate than in 2012, about 75%, according to GOP pollster Whit Ayres.

“My fear is that a good 2014 will disguise some of the fundamental problems that Republicans need to address if they are ever going to elect another president,” pollster Ayres said.

To read the full article, please click here.

Whit Ayres, March 10

Whit Ayres’ comments for the Washington Post‘s PlumLine blog regarding immigration reform and electoral trends:

GOP pollster Whit Ayres, who favors reform, tells me Republicans should take the two point rise in critical swing states very seriously.

“It’s significant,” Ayres says. “Some aspects of the future are difficult to see clearly. The increasing proportion of Hispanics in the electorates in key swing states is not one of them.”
“Swing states are by their very definition closely contested,” Ayres continues. “Many of them have been won in close races by only a percentage point or two. Changing the demographics of the state by two percentage points puts a finger on the scale in each of the swing states for the party that’s doing well among Hispanics. This underscores the critical importance for Republican candidates to do better among nonwhite Americans, particularly among Hispanics, if Republicans ever hope to elect another president.”

Ayres adds that the one-point rises also matter. “It is a sign of things to come,” he said. “States that have been comfortably red, like Georgia and North Carolina, are changing, and will become swing states unless Republicans figure out how to win significant support in the Hispanic community.”

To read the full article, please click here.

Whit Ayres, February 19

Whit Ayres’ comments for Fox News Latino on Republicans and Hispanic voters:

Republican pollster Whit Ayres put it bluntly: “The situation in Texas represents the promise for the Republican Party across the country.”

For the full article, please click here.

Whit Ayres, February 17

Whit Ayres’ comments on immigration reform in The Columbus Dispatch:

“The system is irretrievably broken and most people, when they look at irretrievably broken systems, try to make them better,” said Whit Ayres, a Republican consultant in Washington. “That’s what the Senate did with their bill — a far-from-perfect bill, but a good-faith effort to solve the problem. And the speaker is absolutely right when he says the House needs to take its turns at bat.”

To read the full article, please click here.

Whit Ayres, January 31

Whit Ayres’ comments for the Washington Post on immigration reform and Republican politics:

“If Republicans wait until 2015 to tackle this issue, that puts a very emotional and controversial issue right in the middle of the Republican presidential selection process,” veteran GOP pollster Whit Ayres, a supporter of reform, tells me. “The opportunity for demagoguery will be exceedingly prevalent if we wait that long.”

“It could drag the entire field to the right on immigration, which is the last thing we need if we want to be competitive in the America of the 21st century as well as in the 2016 presidential election,” Ayres continued. “It’s a very real threat.”

For the full article, please click here.

Dan Judy, October 22

Dan Judy’s comments for U.S. News and World Report on immigration reform proposals in the House.

Dan Judy, a Republican pollster at North Star Opinion Research, says the Cantor plan strikes the right balance for the GOP, which must walk a fine line with immigration reform. While many want to court Latino voters on the national scale, Republicans in the House of Representatives must be careful not to alienate their constituencies.

“The Dream Act shows very broad support, but when you talk about allowing those children’s parents to stay in the country, independents are split and Republicans are strongly opposed,” Judy says.

“That is a bridge too far for a lot of lawmakers.”

To read the full article, please click here.

Whit Ayres, July 15

Whit Ayres’ comments in National Journal regarding immigration reform:

“Any Republican with a national perspective understands the dynamics of the politics of the 21st century,” says GOP pollster Whit Ayres, a Rubio adviser. That is, the Hispanic share of the electorate is rising fast, and the GOP share of Hispanic votes keeps falling.

Opposition to immigration reform, particularly from the tea party wing of the GOP, is intense and vociferous but also misleading, given that two-thirds of Republicans support a path to citizenship if there are strict conditions that go along with it. House members, says Ayres, are “reacting to what they hear from people who take the time to write, call and email their offices. There aren’t any Republicans that are going to write their congressman demanding a path to citizenship. It’s not the kind of thing that makes you charge the ramparts.”

To read the full article, please click here.

Whit Ayres, November 13

Whit Ayres’ comments on the Republican party and Hispanic voters, on the NBC News website:

“The handwriting is on the wall,” said Republican pollster Whit Ayres, the co-founder of a group called “Resurgent Republic.”

“Until Republican candidates figure out how to perform better among non-white voters, especially Hispanics and Asians, Republican presidential contenders will have an extraordinarily difficult time winning presidential elections from this point forward,” he said.

If adding millions of younger Latino residents to the legal resident population (and eventually to the citizen voting population) means adding millions more Democrats, then how is that a winning strategy for Republicans?

“Who’s to say they’re going to be Democrats then?” Ayres asked, referring to the potential pool of younger immigrants who might eventually gain citizenship if Congress enacts some version of the Dream Act. “They don’t want a handout or a guarantee, they want an opportunity. They’d like to keep more of what they earn; they’d like the opportunity to start businesses and an opportunity to start a family. A great many of those people have the work ethic and the entrepreneurial spirit and the family orientation to be good solid Republicans – if we stop the tone that suggests we don’t want them as part of our coalition.”

For the full article, please click here.

Whit Ayres/NPR, November 8

Whit Ayres’ comments on NPR regarding the changing electorate:

To read the transcript please click here.

Whit Ayres, November 11

Whit Ayres’ comments in the New York Times regarding Hispanic and younger voters:

Whit Ayres, a Republican pollster, noted that Mr. Romney did better than Mr. McCain among white voters, and won independents by 5 percentage points, all to no avail.

“It is patently obvious that unless Republicans do better among nonwhite voters, they will cease to be a viable national political party,” Mr. Ayres said. “Obviously, doing something on immigration-related issues, like the Dream Act, is a start. But we’re also going to have to address the fact that younger people tend to be less conservative on a number of hot-button social issues.”

To read the full article, please click here.