Whit Ayres, August 8

Whit Ayres’ comments in the Asbury Park Press on Republican candidates efforts with Hispanic voters:

“Conservative Republicans can get a significant share of the Hispanic vote provided they reach out aggressively and campaign in Hispanic communities,” Whit Ayres, a GOP pollster, told USA Today in November 2013. “It makes a huge difference when you have an attitude of inclusiveness and make a serious effort to gain the votes of nonwhite voters.”

To read the full article, please click here.

Jon McHenry, June 12

Jon McHenry’s comments on Republican primaries and immigration reform for Fox News Latino:

“Lindsey Graham was able to talk about what the Senate bill actually does,” said Jon McHenry of the Republican pollster Northstar Opinion Research. “He took it out of the context of just amnesty.”

“People who run successfully in support of immigration reform say it’s not amnesty, its securing our border, and they talk about what do we do with the undocumented immigrants who live in our country.”

Last month, Rep. Renee Ellmers of North Carolina beat a conservative challenge in the GOP primary that also sought to portray her as an amnesty-loving weakling on immigration.

“Renee Ellmers had a tough primary, her race was all about immigration,” McHenry said. “And she successfully fought on that issue, she spoke about what she was for instead of letting it be defined for her.”

For the full article, please click here.

Whit Ayres, June 12

Whit Ayres’ comments on immigration reform and Republican primary voters in Politico:

Pollsters at the briefing, however, say their surveys didn’t find any evidence of greater intensity among immigration reform opponents. And Whit Ayres, one of the pollsters, said Graham was a better test case of how immigration reform plays in a GOP primary — as was Rep. Renee Ellmers of North Carolina, who won her primary easily despite attacks on her support for immigration reform.

“Let’s not get caught up in the news of yesterday,” Ayres said. “There is a pattern of candidates who support these proposals prevailing in Republican primaries.”

For the full article, please click here.

Whit Ayres, March 20

Whit Ayres’ comments on the Hispanic vote and GOP prospects in 2014 and 2016 in the Los Angeles Times:

In 2012, exit polls show Mitt Romney beat Obama by 20 percentage points among white voters, which made up 72% of the electorate, while losing resoundingly among all other racial groups. In this November’s midterm election, whites will constitute a higher percentage of the electorate than in 2012, about 75%, according to GOP pollster Whit Ayres.

“My fear is that a good 2014 will disguise some of the fundamental problems that Republicans need to address if they are ever going to elect another president,” pollster Ayres said.

To read the full article, please click here.

Whit Ayres, March 10

Whit Ayres’ comments for the Washington Post‘s PlumLine blog regarding immigration reform and electoral trends:

GOP pollster Whit Ayres, who favors reform, tells me Republicans should take the two point rise in critical swing states very seriously.

“It’s significant,” Ayres says. “Some aspects of the future are difficult to see clearly. The increasing proportion of Hispanics in the electorates in key swing states is not one of them.”
“Swing states are by their very definition closely contested,” Ayres continues. “Many of them have been won in close races by only a percentage point or two. Changing the demographics of the state by two percentage points puts a finger on the scale in each of the swing states for the party that’s doing well among Hispanics. This underscores the critical importance for Republican candidates to do better among nonwhite Americans, particularly among Hispanics, if Republicans ever hope to elect another president.”

Ayres adds that the one-point rises also matter. “It is a sign of things to come,” he said. “States that have been comfortably red, like Georgia and North Carolina, are changing, and will become swing states unless Republicans figure out how to win significant support in the Hispanic community.”

To read the full article, please click here.

Whit Ayres, February 19

Whit Ayres’ comments for Fox News Latino on Republicans and Hispanic voters:

Republican pollster Whit Ayres put it bluntly: “The situation in Texas represents the promise for the Republican Party across the country.”

For the full article, please click here.

Whit Ayres, February 17

Whit Ayres’ comments on immigration reform in The Columbus Dispatch:

“The system is irretrievably broken and most people, when they look at irretrievably broken systems, try to make them better,” said Whit Ayres, a Republican consultant in Washington. “That’s what the Senate did with their bill — a far-from-perfect bill, but a good-faith effort to solve the problem. And the speaker is absolutely right when he says the House needs to take its turns at bat.”

To read the full article, please click here.

Whit Ayres, January 31

Whit Ayres’ comments for the Washington Post on immigration reform and Republican politics:

“If Republicans wait until 2015 to tackle this issue, that puts a very emotional and controversial issue right in the middle of the Republican presidential selection process,” veteran GOP pollster Whit Ayres, a supporter of reform, tells me. “The opportunity for demagoguery will be exceedingly prevalent if we wait that long.”

“It could drag the entire field to the right on immigration, which is the last thing we need if we want to be competitive in the America of the 21st century as well as in the 2016 presidential election,” Ayres continued. “It’s a very real threat.”

For the full article, please click here.

Dan Judy, October 22

Dan Judy’s comments for U.S. News and World Report on immigration reform proposals in the House.

Dan Judy, a Republican pollster at North Star Opinion Research, says the Cantor plan strikes the right balance for the GOP, which must walk a fine line with immigration reform. While many want to court Latino voters on the national scale, Republicans in the House of Representatives must be careful not to alienate their constituencies.

“The Dream Act shows very broad support, but when you talk about allowing those children’s parents to stay in the country, independents are split and Republicans are strongly opposed,” Judy says.

“That is a bridge too far for a lot of lawmakers.”

To read the full article, please click here.

Whit Ayres, July 15

Whit Ayres’ comments in National Journal regarding immigration reform:

“Any Republican with a national perspective understands the dynamics of the politics of the 21st century,” says GOP pollster Whit Ayres, a Rubio adviser. That is, the Hispanic share of the electorate is rising fast, and the GOP share of Hispanic votes keeps falling.

Opposition to immigration reform, particularly from the tea party wing of the GOP, is intense and vociferous but also misleading, given that two-thirds of Republicans support a path to citizenship if there are strict conditions that go along with it. House members, says Ayres, are “reacting to what they hear from people who take the time to write, call and email their offices. There aren’t any Republicans that are going to write their congressman demanding a path to citizenship. It’s not the kind of thing that makes you charge the ramparts.”

To read the full article, please click here.